Furthermore, Brown’s role on the Celtics is that of a scorer.ĭuring the regular season, Brown had the 4th-highest assist rate of Boston’s starting 5 for Game 7. This suggests the sharp side is the Under.īrown has dished fewer than 4 assists in four of the 1st six games of the Eastern Conference Finals. There is heavy juice on his UNDER and the Over has a plus-money payout. The pricing of Brown’s assist prop at Pinnacle is similar to Smart’s point prop. Gambling strategy: Always shop around for the best number when betting player props.Ĭeltics SG Jaylen Brown Assist Prop (3.5) BET: Boston PG Marcus Smart UNDER 14.5 points (-125) Smart scored more than 14 points in two of those 11 contests. Heat - May 23 Boston Celtics guard Marcus Smart (36) dribbles the ball during Game 3 of the NBA basketball playoffs Eastern Conference finals against the Miami Heat, Sunday, May 21, 2023, in Miami. He’s made two or fewer 3s in 11 of 19 games this postseason. Marcus Smart NBA Playoffs Player Prop Bets: Celtics vs. Smart’s 3-pointers made prop is set at 2.5 with heavy juice on the Under. Especially in this must-win scenario where most of the offense should run through teammates Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. Like Boston itself, Smart’s scoring relies on him sinking 3s. During the regular season, Smart scored 8 and 10 points in two of his three games vs. Smart has scored 14 or fewer points in 10 of his 19 games in these playoffs including the 1st four games of this series. For example, 1u = $100.Ĭeltics PG Marcus Smart celebrates during Game 6 of the ECF vs. Gambling strategy: I’m splitting roughly 1 unit (u) among the three Heat-Celtics Game 7 player props. BET: Miami SG Duncan Robinson OVER 8.5 points (-105) at DraftKings Robinson definitely shoots it well enough to hit three 3s and should get the necessary volume of looks. Among qualified hitters in MLB play, his batting average ranks 19th, his on-base.
#Marcus smart player prop plus#
Meaning, DraftKings considers Robinson a “lock” to hit two 3-pointers. 366, plus a team-best slugging percentage of.
The implied win probability of that line is 60.8%. The Boston Celtics, Marcus Smart included, square off versus the Miami Heat at 8:30 PM ET on Monday in the 2023 NBA Playoffs.
But, the Over for Robinson’s 1.5 made 3-pointers prop at DraftKings is -155. Heat - May 29 Boston Celtics guard Marcus Smart (36) takes a shot during final seconds of the second half of Game 6 of the NBA. The Under for Robinson’s point prop is more expensive, which is concerning because the prop market is generally sharper than the side or total. Marcus Smart NBA Playoffs Player Prop Bets: Celtics vs. Robinson has the second-best adjusted on/off net rating behind Heat SF Caleb Martin, according to . He also has the 2nd-best offensive rating behind Heat SG Haywood Highsmith who has barely played. Looking at 3-pointers, the Heat are ranked 28th in the NBA, conceding 13.1 makes per game.Heat SG Duncan Robinson shoots a 3 over Boston Celtics SG Jaylen Brown during Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals at Kaseya Center in Miami.Conceding 25.6 assists per game, the Heat are the 14th-ranked squad in the league.On the glass, the Heat have allowed 41.9 rebounds per game, which puts them sixth in the league.On defense, the Heat have conceded 109.8 points per game, which is second-best in the NBA.Smart's Celtics average 101.9 possessions per game, which ranks 16th among NBA teams, while the Heat are one of the league's slowest with 99.2 possessions per contest.He's knocked down 1.9 threes per game, or 8.7% of his team's makes from beyond the arc this season.Smart is responsible for taking 8.3% of his team's field goal attempts this season with 9.9 per game.
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